There are a lot sure, but total babies born in the US in one year is about 1% of the population. So trying to vaccinate 70% of the population for COVID in a short amount of time seems like it would be some crazy manufacturing upscaling. Hard to say without knowing how all the numbers fall out though.
www.cnn.com
Interesting to see the US perspective of our Canadian response to COVID-19.
It's wasn't all rosy as ~8,500 died, mostly in my province and mostly in long term care facilities. But it's true that we did a good job coming together, keeping politics out of it and by and large following the science. I think we did a pretty good job with counting cases and fatalities as well, based on excess mortality data.
We'll see where we go from here. Will people do what's necessary to mitigate another wave? Maybe it's inevitable, but I do believe we can alleviate it with good behavior. Though we do have our lot of belligerents as the current (still trickle of) cases have skewed towards a much younger average age.
See how Canada crushed the curve while the US struggles | CNN
CNN's Paula Newton explains what measures Canadians are taking to flatten the curve as countries continue to battle the coronavirus pandemic.
This is a pretty good article on it.
www.vox.com
www.statnews.com
And this ^, right here, is why structured data and analysis is vitally important to all countries, industries, and businesses. Thank you Lady Sparkles!This is a pretty good article on it.
America started off testing people for the coronavirus at a slower rate than most other developed countries, but the number of people diagnosed with Covid-19 in the US has risen more quickly than the country’s peers abroad. We don’t yet know the full extent of the outbreak, but America remains a focal point of the coronavirus pandemic.
The US health system was less prepared for a pandemic than those of other wealthy nations. A high uninsured rate, high out-of-pocket health care costs, and low medical system capacity together make the country more vulnerable to a pathogen before the coronavirus ever came to our shores. America’s lax response in the early days of the outbreak only compounded those structural problems.
How the US stacks up to other countries in confirmed coronavirus cases
The United States has about a third of the world’s coronavirus cases.
And because I'm a stats nerd, here's some math too:
At least three factors enable meaningful comparisons of these nations with the United States. First, we scaled up their population sizes and Covid-19 deaths to match those of the U.S. Second, in each of these countries, roughly 80% or more of the population lives in urbanized, transmission-prone areas, similar to the U.S. Third, the pandemic took root earlier in these other countries than here, as measured by the date of the 15th confirmed case in each, meaning that foreign leaders had to act with less information to guide their decisions than did U.S. leaders.
To compare each country’s responses to the pandemic on a consistent basis, we turned to the work of an Oxford University team that has constructed a stringency index based on 13 policy responses (lockdowns, border closings, tests, etc.) to measure how strongly each country responded over time. The Oxford index shows that 14 days from the date of the 15th confirmed case in each country — a vital early window for action — the U.S. response to the outbreak lagged behind the others by miles. The U.S. stringency score of 5.7 at that point was 25% of Australia’s (23), 23% of Germany’s (25), 18% of Singapore’s (32), and only 15% of South Korea’s (38).
Due to exponential viral spread, our delay in action was devastating. In the wake of the U.S. response, 117,858 Americans died in the four months following the first 15 confirmed cases. After an equivalent period, Germany suffered only 8,863 casualties. Scaling up the German population of 83.7 million to America’s 331 million, a U.S.-sized Germany would have suffered 35,049 Covid-19 deaths. So if the U.S. had acted as effectively as Germany, 70% of U.S. coronavirus deaths might have been prevented.
Seventy percent, though, is the most conservative estimate. Scaled-up versions of South Korea, Australia, and Singapore would have experienced 1,758, 1,324, and 1,358 deaths, respectively, in the four months after 15 cases were confirmed in each country. Had we handled the coronavirus as effectively as any of these three countries, roughly 99% of the 117,858 U.S. Covid-19 deaths might have been averted.
Our conclusions are strengthened by their consistency with the results from different methodologies. Two notable epidemiological projections, based on theoretical models of transmission and “idealized hypothetical assumptions,” have estimated that between 80% and 90% of American deaths could have been averted had lockdowns and social distancing begun two weeks earlier.
How many needless Covid-19 deaths were caused by delays in responding? Most of them
Some countries with the same information as the U.S. had at the start of the pandemic took earlier, decisive steps to quell the spread of SARS-CoV-2, leading to proportionally fewer deaths than the U.S.
This is what I've been saying for months. Had we had stronger federal guidelines that acted quickly and decisively, we would have seen only 10-30% of the deaths we saw here. Had we had more compliance for mask wearing and social distancing and had shut down things faster, we could have numbers similar to the rest of the world. We didn't do that.
This is a pretty good article on it.
America started off testing people for the coronavirus at a slower rate than most other developed countries, but the number of people diagnosed with Covid-19 in the US has risen more quickly than the country’s peers abroad. We don’t yet know the full extent of the outbreak, but America remains a focal point of the coronavirus pandemic.
The US health system was less prepared for a pandemic than those of other wealthy nations. A high uninsured rate, high out-of-pocket health care costs, and low medical system capacity together make the country more vulnerable to a pathogen before the coronavirus ever came to our shores. America’s lax response in the early days of the outbreak only compounded those structural problems.
How the US stacks up to other countries in confirmed coronavirus cases
The United States has about a third of the world’s coronavirus cases.
And because I'm a stats nerd, here's some math too:
At least three factors enable meaningful comparisons of these nations with the United States. First, we scaled up their population sizes and Covid-19 deaths to match those of the U.S. Second, in each of these countries, roughly 80% or more of the population lives in urbanized, transmission-prone areas, similar to the U.S. Third, the pandemic took root earlier in these other countries than here, as measured by the date of the 15th confirmed case in each, meaning that foreign leaders had to act with less information to guide their decisions than did U.S. leaders.
To compare each country’s responses to the pandemic on a consistent basis, we turned to the work of an Oxford University team that has constructed a stringency index based on 13 policy responses (lockdowns, border closings, tests, etc.) to measure how strongly each country responded over time. The Oxford index shows that 14 days from the date of the 15th confirmed case in each country — a vital early window for action — the U.S. response to the outbreak lagged behind the others by miles. The U.S. stringency score of 5.7 at that point was 25% of Australia’s (23), 23% of Germany’s (25), 18% of Singapore’s (32), and only 15% of South Korea’s (38).
Due to exponential viral spread, our delay in action was devastating. In the wake of the U.S. response, 117,858 Americans died in the four months following the first 15 confirmed cases. After an equivalent period, Germany suffered only 8,863 casualties. Scaling up the German population of 83.7 million to America’s 331 million, a U.S.-sized Germany would have suffered 35,049 Covid-19 deaths. So if the U.S. had acted as effectively as Germany, 70% of U.S. coronavirus deaths might have been prevented.
Seventy percent, though, is the most conservative estimate. Scaled-up versions of South Korea, Australia, and Singapore would have experienced 1,758, 1,324, and 1,358 deaths, respectively, in the four months after 15 cases were confirmed in each country. Had we handled the coronavirus as effectively as any of these three countries, roughly 99% of the 117,858 U.S. Covid-19 deaths might have been averted.
Our conclusions are strengthened by their consistency with the results from different methodologies. Two notable epidemiological projections, based on theoretical models of transmission and “idealized hypothetical assumptions,” have estimated that between 80% and 90% of American deaths could have been averted had lockdowns and social distancing begun two weeks earlier.
How many needless Covid-19 deaths were caused by delays in responding? Most of them
Some countries with the same information as the U.S. had at the start of the pandemic took earlier, decisive steps to quell the spread of SARS-CoV-2, leading to proportionally fewer deaths than the U.S.
This is what I've been saying for months. Had we had stronger federal guidelines that acted quickly and decisively, we would have seen only 10-30% of the deaths we saw here. Had we had more compliance for mask wearing and social distancing and had shut down things faster, we could have numbers similar to the rest of the world. We didn't do that.
www.thestar.com
www.rawstory.com
ourworldindata.org
