Neverending Covid-19 Coronavirus

Apparently forging vaccination cards is a thing. Also, sometimes I hate people.

Since Monday, Walker and Sparks have, combined, posted more than half a dozen TikTok videos calling out health-care workers who’ve talked online about forging or attempting to forge vaccine cards. And they say other users have sent them dozens more tips they haven’t been able to verify.
www.thedailybeast.com

Health-Care Workers Are Bragging on TikTok About Forging Vax Cards

A new trend is emerging that could have huge implications for the vulnerable Americans some health-care professionals serve.
www.thedailybeast.com
 
I live in NY (and, yes, am over 30) so just became eligible today. I figured getting an appointment once I was eligible would be next to impossible (or at least, require more effort than I was willing to exert) for at least a couple of months. But I checked this morning and was able to pretty easily secure an appointment for my first shot about 2 weeks from now.
 
Some good news on the vaccination front:

  • The share of U.S. adults who report being vaccinated for COVID-19 or intending to do so as soon as possible continues to rise (currently 61%) and the share taking a “wait and see” approach continues to shrink (now 17%), while the share who say they will “definitely not” get the vaccine (13%) has remained about the same since December, according to the latest KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor. Black adults saw the largest increase in vaccine enthusiasm (55% of them now say they have either gotten vaccinated or want to as soon as possible), but one-quarter of Black adults say they still want to “wait and see” how the vaccine works for others before getting vaccinated, somewhat higher than the share of White adults who say the same. About three in ten Republicans and White Evangelicals say they will “definitely not” get the vaccine, as do one in five adults living in rural areas.

KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor: March 2021 - Findings - 9682 | KFF

The KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor is an ongoing research project tracking the public’s attitudes and experiences with COVID-19 vaccinations. Using a combination of surveys and qualitative research, this project tracks the dynamic nature of public opinion as vaccine development and distribution...
www.kff.org www.kff.org

The whole paper is good but this is the tl;dr. Vaccine hesitancy is dwindling as the vaccine is proving 100% effective against death and very highly effective against hospitalization, which is a big thing for those people that are vaccine hesitant.
 
Going back into full lockdown tomorrow starting 8pm. :(

A variant wildfire is hitting my area. Luckily, a lot of the older generation and health care workers have had a dose and they're working on the 65+. But the infection curve has been steep and it's much younger people hitting ICU now.... and it's all pretty much because there is a weak adhesion of the measures in place - it's uncanny how our modelisations from two weeks ago are spot on with the low adhesion predictions.

Damn it, this thing just couldn't go down quietly, could it?
 
Turbo said:
Going back into full lockdown tomorrow starting 8pm. :(

A variant wildfire is hitting my area. Luckily, a lot of the older generation and health care workers have had a dose and they're working on the 65+. But the infection curve has been steep and it's much younger people hitting ICU now.... and it's all pretty much because there is a weak adhesion of the measures in place - it's uncanny how our modelisations from two weeks ago are spot on with the low adhesion predictions.

Damn it, this thing just couldn't go down quietly, could it?
Click to expand...
This is the exact situation we're in here in Michigan....well barring the full shutdown....but, that's coming. Numbers are going way up, younger people are hitting the ICU's, bar/restaurants are at full capacity, and mask wearing is at a new low. Soon, the people packing the bars and not wearing masks are all going to blame our Governor again, when we go into Lockdown 3, even though it'll be the Health Department mandating it. Haha. I wish this wasn't so easy to predict.

I went into a gas station this morning and only 2 of the 6 customers in the store were wearing masks. Needless to say, I will no longer be going there. Maybe they traveled down here from Northern Michigan and think they've hit Texas already?
 
In some good news, Pfizer-BioNTech announced that their real-world preliminary data suggests that their vaccine is highly effective against the South African variant. Numbers are still very low, but the efficiency is 100% so far (that will come down with time, but the trend line is promising).
 
Skeletonframes said:
This is the exact situation we're in here in Michigan....well barring the full shutdown....but, that's coming. Numbers are going way up, younger people are hitting the ICU's, bar/restaurants are at full capacity, and mask wearing is at a new low. Soon, the people packing the bars and not wearing masks are all going to blame our Governor again, when we go into Lockdown 3, even though it'll be the Health Department mandating it. Haha. I wish this wasn't so easy to predict.

I went into a gas station this morning and only 2 of the 6 customers in the store were wearing masks. Needless to say, I will no longer be going there. Maybe they traveled down here from Northern Michigan and think they've hit Texas already?
Click to expand...
You think we're headed for another shutdown? I know our numbers are spiking here but I haven't heard any chatter about that yet.
 
nolalady said:
I don't think any governor is going to call for a shut down, especially if you're in a red state.
Click to expand...
Well, we have a blue governor. Whitmer was harshly criticized by many MI residents for her strong restrictions last spring, and even had an alleged kidnapping plot against her. I don't know if that means she wouldn't put us in lockdown again though. I do know that I'm almost ready to be out and about again, with my second shot coming next week. I'm just floored that we're spiking all the while SO many people I know have gotten at least one dose.
 
ranbalam said:
You think we're headed for another shutdown? I know our numbers are spiking here but I haven't heard any chatter about that yet.
Click to expand...
I certainly hope we're not, but the numbers and the amount of people being careless trend toward it. My girlfriend is a bartender and she has heard it through the wire from Liquor Distributors and Management about the previous 2 before they happened. There are rumblings again. Apparently it depends on the numbers after Easter and everyone returning from Spring Break. If the numbers rocket because of those two things, we could see another one. Of course, past rumors don't mean anything for current events, but that's just what I've heard.

I have both of my shots, as I work with the utility company, and I still worry about transmitting to people. It's crazy to me that something as simple as wearing a mask to protect other people is too much for these idiots I'm seeing around. Like, even if I didn't think COVID was as deadly as reported, I'd still wear a mask because it is a very very minor thing to do.
 
Turbo said:
In some good news, Pfizer-BioNTech announced that their real-world preliminary data suggests that their vaccine is highly effective against the South African variant. Numbers are still very low, but the efficiency is 100% so far (that will come down with time, but the trend line is promising).
Click to expand...
Here's another study from the CDC indicating that mRNA vaccines are holding up well in real world applications.

Using prospective cohorts of health care personnel, first responders, and other essential and frontline workers* in eight U.S. locations during December 14, 2020–March 13, 2021, CDC routinely tested for SARS-CoV-2 infections every week regardless of symptom status and at the onset of symptoms consistent with COVID-19–associated illness. Among 3,950 participants with no previous laboratory documentation of SARS-CoV-2 infection, 2,479 (62.8%) received both recommended mRNA doses and 477 (12.1%) received only one dose of mRNA vaccine.† Among unvaccinated participants, 1.38 SARS-CoV-2 infections were confirmed by reverse transcription–polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) per 1,000 person-days.§ In contrast, among fully immunized (≥14 days after second dose) persons, 0.04 infections per 1,000 person-days were reported, and among partially immunized (≥14 days after first dose and before second dose) persons, 0.19 infections per 1,000 person-days were reported. Estimated mRNA vaccine effectiveness for prevention of infection, adjusted for study site, was 90% for full immunization and 80% for partial immunization. These findings indicate that authorized mRNA COVID-19 vaccines are effective for preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection, regardless of symptom status, among working-age adults in real-world conditions. COVID-19 vaccination is recommended for all eligible persons.
www.cdc.gov

Interim Estimates of Vaccine Effectiveness of BNT162b2 and mRNA

mRNA COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 infection
www.cdc.gov www.cdc.gov
ranbalam said:
Well, we have a blue governor. Whitmer was harshly criticized by many MI residents for her strong restrictions last spring, and even had an alleged kidnapping plot against her. I don't know if that means she wouldn't put us in lockdown again though. I do know that I'm almost ready to be out and about again, with my second shot coming next week. I'm just floored that we're spiking all the while SO many people I know have gotten at least one dose.
Click to expand...
So MI is a lot like LA. We have a blue governor but lean red in most everything else. They are seeing cases in younger people and with bars opening, I don't doubt that's probably a big reason infection is spreading. Any indoor place with recycled air, a lot of people, where it's encouraged to stay and hang out, usually unmasked, is going to be ideal conditions for Covid to spread.
 
nolalady said:
Here's another study from the CDC indicating that mRNA vaccines are holding up well in real world applications.

Using prospective cohorts of health care personnel, first responders, and other essential and frontline workers* in eight U.S. locations during December 14, 2020–March 13, 2021, CDC routinely tested for SARS-CoV-2 infections every week regardless of symptom status and at the onset of symptoms consistent with COVID-19–associated illness. Among 3,950 participants with no previous laboratory documentation of SARS-CoV-2 infection, 2,479 (62.8%) received both recommended mRNA doses and 477 (12.1%) received only one dose of mRNA vaccine.† Among unvaccinated participants, 1.38 SARS-CoV-2 infections were confirmed by reverse transcription–polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) per 1,000 person-days.§ In contrast, among fully immunized (≥14 days after second dose) persons, 0.04 infections per 1,000 person-days were reported, and among partially immunized (≥14 days after first dose and before second dose) persons, 0.19 infections per 1,000 person-days were reported. Estimated mRNA vaccine effectiveness for prevention of infection, adjusted for study site, was 90% for full immunization and 80% for partial immunization. These findings indicate that authorized mRNA COVID-19 vaccines are effective for preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection, regardless of symptom status, among working-age adults in real-world conditions. COVID-19 vaccination is recommended for all eligible persons.
www.cdc.gov

Interim Estimates of Vaccine Effectiveness of BNT162b2 and mRNA

mRNA COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 infection
www.cdc.gov www.cdc.gov

So MI is a lot like LA. We have a blue governor but lean red in most everything else. They are seeing cases in younger people and with bars opening, I don't doubt that's probably a big reason infection is spreading. Any indoor place with recycled air, a lot of people, where it's encouraged to stay and hang out, usually unmasked, is going to be ideal conditions for Covid to spread.
Click to expand...

I believe that's the one I posted on the previous page. It's a really solid one. The one thing I didn't notice in that one is how well the vaccines are protecting against light disease vs moderate vs severe vs hospitalizations vs death. I'm assuming really well and quite possibly 100% vs the most severe, but I didn't notice any statement to the effect.
 
Turbo said:
I believe that's the one I posted on the previous page. It's a really solid one. The one thing I didn't notice in that one is how well the vaccines are protecting against light disease vs moderate vs severe vs hospitalizations vs death. I'm assuming really well and quite possibly 100% vs the most severe, but I didn't notice any statement to the effect.
Click to expand...
Too much information!!
I knew I would eventually do this.
I've seen other studies outline that hospitalizations were extremely low in the cohort that got the vaccine, and that there were no deaths. I would love to see updated data on this.
 
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