Neverending Covid-19 Coronavirus

Are we reading the same article? The entire thing is about the government's failure, at multiple levels, to heed the growing body of scientific evidence or even to participate in intra-EU information sharing about the crisis when the opportunity was available.

Listening to advisers who have mitigated their response based on what they believe is palatable, without sufficiently stress testing or interrogating their conclusions =/= beholden to science. It's just a group of grown men appealing to the magical thinking of national exceptionalism (hello, yes, takes one to know one).

 
Are we reading the same article? The entire thing is about the government's failure, at multiple levels, to heed the growing body of scientific evidence or even to participate in intra-EU information sharing about the crisis when the opportunity was available.

Don't worry, for the benefit of any pre-existing beliefs, it doesn't exonerate Johnson but it does provide rather more context to how and why things have happened here as they have.

The article does make it quite clear that the Government has followed the advice of the people employed to be listened to- for better or worse- and those people filtered that information to fit an existing model. FWIW, the EU's role in this has been secondary to individual governments across member states. That's why there's full lockdowns with army involvement in France, a voluntary one in Sweden and the Netherlands actually pursuing the herd immunity goal.

Listening to advisers who have mitigated their response based on what they believe is palatable, without sufficiently stress testing or interrogating their conclusions =/= beholden to science. It's just a group of grown men appealing to the magical thinking of national exceptionalism (hello, yes, takes one to know one).

My reason for linking to the article is that it does suggest that some of the UK's response is down to policy and policy that's been around for a long time. It hasn't acted on the fly and it hasn't (it seems to its own detriment) bypassed nongovernmental organisations put in place. My argument- which obviously will forever be speculative- is that any Prime Minister would have largely followed these same basic policies with only some minor tweaking around the edges.
 
Actual footage of me and @Jonathan Y right now:

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Turns out there really is a supply issue with toilet paper and it's not just people hoarding it causing the shortage.

Toilet paper production is split between for home use and commercial. Commercial use is a bigger portion of the pie.

With everyone suddenly at home more there is more demand for home use toilet paper. To the levels that there would be issues if people weren't hoarding it as well.

Production has to shift from creating more commercial toilet paper to more home use toilet paper.

All of which takes time. Especially when most of our toilet paper is manufactured in China. It would take a few weeks to shift production lines and a few more weeks on ship to be imported to the United States.
 
So the UK's predicament was just unavoidable because of a cultural resistance to the alternatives?

That sounds like a defense that will enjoy some popularity here as well.

A less glib summary might be that the UK planned for a pandemic response in manner that was pretty thorough* but unsuited to what has actually happened. It then acted too slowly to adjust the plan in light of new information. What hasn't happened is that ideologues tore the plans up- for better or worse, it largely followed the plans drawn up by the people that six months ago, nobody would have credibly suggested ignoring.

* To save anyone chiming in with "ShOuLd HaVe MoRe VeNtiLaToRs ThO", let's be completely honest as to how the UK works. If a government, trust or individual hospital had gone long on pandemic preparation, the moment that their A&E times slipped, cancer waiting lists lengthened, etc, they'd have been pilloried for it. It's not a system that rewards planning for the never never.
 
Turns out there really is a supply issue with toilet paper and it's not just people hoarding it causing the shortage.

Toilet paper production is split between for home use and commercial. Commercial use is a bigger portion of the pie.

With everyone suddenly at home more there is more demand for home use toilet paper. To the levels that there would be issues if people weren't hoarding it as well.

Production has to shift from creating more commercial toilet paper to more home use toilet paper.

All of which takes time. Especially when most of our toilet paper is manufactured in China. It would take a few weeks to shift production lines and a few more weeks on ship to be imported to the United States.

Finally an explanation that makes sense. Thank you!!!
 
* To save anyone chiming in with "ShOuLd HaVe MoRe VeNtiLaToRs ThO", let's be completely honest as to how the UK works. If a government, trust or individual hospital had gone long on pandemic preparation, the moment that their A&E times slipped, cancer waiting lists lengthened, etc, they'd have been pilloried for it. It's not a system that rewards planning for the never never.

And after a decade of ideological austerity let’s face it, how could they be expected to even contemplate planning for such future events, most trusts are doing there upmost to give the best care possible without going bankrupt. It makes you wonder just how bad a state the NHS would have been in without the 13 years of actual capital investment in it between 97 and 2010.
 
Turns out there really is a supply issue with toilet paper and it's not just people hoarding it causing the shortage.

Toilet paper production is split between for home use and commercial. Commercial use is a bigger portion of the pie.

With everyone suddenly at home more there is more demand for home use toilet paper. To the levels that there would be issues if people weren't hoarding it as well.

Production has to shift from creating more commercial toilet paper to more home use toilet paper.

All of which takes time. Especially when most of our toilet paper is manufactured in China. It would take a few weeks to shift production lines and a few more weeks on ship to be imported to the United States.

 
And after a decade of ideological austerity let’s face it, how could they be expected to even contemplate planning for such future events, most trusts are doing there upmost to give the best care possible without going bankrupt. It makes you wonder just how bad a state the NHS would have been in without the 13 years of actual capital investment in it between 97 and 2010.

You don't even need austerity- although obviously it didn't help. Everything is calculated for the here and now. If there was more money being spent, it has to be spent on stuff that wins you the next election. Something open ended won't get a look in.

EDIT @BazookaTooth- love this.

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So the UK's predicament was just unavoidable because of a cultural resistance to the alternatives?

That sounds like a defense that will enjoy some popularity here as well.

It's also nonsense. They formed their policy based on the 'science' that agreed with their political agenda as exposed by various publications across the political spectrum.

It's a feeble excuse used to justify a callous and irresponsible response by the government. It's got nothing to do with critics (from across the scientific and medical community) scoring political points. Everyone wants the government to succeed and protect us all.
 
Everyone wants the government to succeed and protect us all.

That's just the reality of what we've been reduced to. I'm all for closing shops and public spaces, doesn't mean I'm not nervous about lunatics like Johnson and Cummings wielding such power. I'm not convinced they're going to give it all back when it's over.

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Look- contrary to what you might think- I don't care about the minutiae of your beliefs and biases, they're yours and you're welcome to them. I'd rather you didn't pretend you don't have them though. I certainly have mine.
 
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Look- contrary to what you might think- I don't care about the minutiae of your beliefs and biases, they're yours and you're welcome to them. I'd rather you didn't pretend you don't have them though. I certainly have mine.

I don't try to hide them, I'd also rather the government succeeded and protected my family. I don't want people to die. That's infinitely better than saying I told you so to Tory voters.
 
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